Monday: This will become the first outbreak area of severe weather concentrating across where the dry line meets the Gulf of Mexico moisture over Western Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. The timing of this event should take place from LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY into the EARLY EVENING HOURS. The main threat should be large hail, damaging winds excess of 70 mph, and a few tornadoes. Northwestern Kansas has a very good shot of this event. I want to stress that the CAP could become an issue with this event. Remember, the jet shear favors the event with winds in the mid to low levels at 60-75 knots.

Tuesday: This gets really interesting, I do believe the CAP becomes much weaker during this day. The dry line will continue to advance eastward to the same areas as Monday’s event, however, the severe weather shifts to the Eastern portions of the states of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. The main threats are, large severe damaging hail, frequent and dangerous lightning, very heavy rainfall with major flash flooding, damaging winds excess of 80 mph, and several tornadoes, some could become long tracking and long living. The jet shear becomes strong at the mid and lower levels at 75-95 knots. The low and middle level lapse rates are in the severe parameters. This is going to become worse than what Monday is showing. This affects the metro areas of Wichita, Topeka, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Dallas and Fort Worth.

Wednesday: As far as we know, the forward speed of the dry line and cold front increases to bring the Mississippi and Western Tennessee Valley into focus for severe weather. This will become more widespread in frequency for Wednesday, this also could become the worse of the three-day event. There is going to be a solid line of thunderstorms forming ahead of the dry line and cold front. This will definitely become a major severe squall line MCS/very likely a damaging derecho like line covering a large, widespread area. Metro areas of St. Louis, Evansville, Columbia, Springfield, Joplin, Fayetteville, Little Rock, Memphis, Dallas, Houston, Waco, Jackson, Clarksville, Port Gibson, Shreveport, Baton Rouge, and Alexandria. Main threats, of course, large severe hail, damaging winds excess of 75 to 85 mph, frequent dangerous lightning, heavy downpours for major flash flooding, and several tornadoes including long-lived and long tracking.
As always, I strongly suggest you all listen and take the advice of your local Emergency Management Agency suggestions, National Weather Service through NOAA Weather Radio, and your local meteorologists. They know what is best for you, folks, and I really strong encourage all of you to follow to their guidance as well. I would also strongly advise all of you, folks, to prepare an emergency kit with water, food, essentials, medicines, first aid, and so on. You can find out more by DOWNLOADING THE RED CROSS TORNADO APP on ANDROID or IPhone.

This is a delicate and serious event heading our way in the time to come. Please adhere to all the local advisories, watches, and warnings when issued by the National Weather Service. Also heed to the advice of the Storm Prediction Center for when the mesoscale discussion, watches are issued by them. NOAA Weather Radio is always ESSENTIAL and a LIFE SAVER to have with you at all times. I will continue to monitor the situation and update when necessary.

Let’s take a look at today’s weather picture beginning with the Northeast. We have some very unseasonably cold winds blowing out of the Northwest from Northern Canada bringing temperatures in the 20s and 30s across New England and interior Northeast. We are expecting along with the northwesterly winds over the warmer waters of Lake Erie and Ontario, expecting some lake effect snow showers across Northwestern and Central Pennsylvania into Central and Northwestern New York. A few inches of accumulations could be forecast across the snowbelt areas of Upstate New York, otherwise, we shouldn’t be dealing with much problems from this.

Moving to the Desert Southwest and Southern Rockies, we have a developing upper level low pressure system spreading some snow showers in the higher elevations of the Central and Southern Rockies with rain in the valleys. Over most of California we have a pacific air flow of drier air that will keep skies clear and sunny over most of the state.

The bigger story is the Southern Plains as that Upper level low pressure system begins to move into the panhandle regions of Northern Texas, we will have a clash of air masses with mainly rain ahead of the frontal boundary across most of Western Oklahoma and most of Arkansas, several inches of rainfall is likely across Eastern Oklahoma and into West Central Arkansas between 3 to 5 inches of rainfall. We will have some rainfall across Central Texas between one and two inches there. Showers will be likely across the Texas Gulf Coast. We have severe weather to deal with across most of the Rio Grande Valley and Southwestern Texas. We will be dealing with some damaging winds excess of 60-70 mph, large, damaging hail and a couple of tornadoes likely. So keep up with the latest with NOAA Weather Radio in this region.

Switching to the Northern and Central Plains and the Great Lakes. We have some chiller air from Northern Canada could provide a few lake effect snow showers across Northern and Central Lower Michigan and the Upper Peninsula. We are not looking at any accumulations, light if that. High pressure is mainly in control of the weather across the Western Great Lakes and Northern Plains keeping temperatures in the 20s and 30s there. There is a warm front moving through the Northern Plains bringing some warmer air into the region as the dome of high pressure over the Central Rockies with the building ridge will begin to move Eastward. We have that upper low over in the Foothills of the Rockies will bring some mix precipitation in the mid level of the Rockies with some snowfall mixing in. Temperatures falling below freezing tonight across the Panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas could bring some snowfall and accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, believe it or not. Something to keep in mind, this evening across the region.

Take a look at tomorrow’s weather, across the Southwest, the ridge of high pressure begins to strengthen even further in the Central Rockies as the dome of warmer air will also begin to build up. This will keep skies clear and dry along with temperatures warming into the 70s and 80s. Beautiful weather in store for tomorrow in this region.

The rainfall across the Southern Plains will begin to move into the Central Gulf Coast. Warm, humid air from the Gulf will collide with the cooler and drier air mass from the northern Appalachians, this will cause some disturbance in the atmosphere in the form of rain showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast, we could see some storms reaching the severe thresehold across the Texas Gulf Coast and into Louisiana. We will keep an eye on this situation, overnight. Across the Southeast, spotty rain showers will be likely.

Shifting to the Northern Plains and Great Lakes for tomorrow, things will begins to warm up across the region, however, we have a low pressure system across Manitoba will bring snow showers to Canada and rain showers ahead of the cold front in North Dakota. Apparently, we have cooler air behind the front trapped in Northern Canada that will usher into the Northern Plains, later in the afternoon on Wednesday.

Rainfall forecast for the Southern Plains and Texas, we are looking at mainly a half of an inch to an inch of rainfall across most of Texas. Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, and Waco will look at 1 to 2 inches of beneficial rainfall, while most of the Louisiana Gulf Coast will see Flash Flooding rainfall of two to four inches including New Orleans.

Here is a closer look at what we are looking at for the rest of the week for the Southeast and Mid Atlantic states. On Wednesday, Thunderstorms are a good bet for the entire Gulf Coast with heavier rainfall for most of Eastern OK and West Central AR. Rainfal will spread across most of the Southeast, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic come Thursday and Friday as the storm takes a Coastal track. Gulf of Mexico air mass will funnel north into the Dixie Heartland while the chilly, drier air from the North will collide with the Gulf of Mexico flow, this will allow the moisture content to increase. We aren’t looking at a big severe weather maker, since there isn’t really much of a difference in the temperature contrast between the two air masses, that is good news for many of us. We just need to deal with some welcoming moisture and some flooding issues along the Gulf Coast.

Looking closer to the Severe weather threat for this evening and overnight, severe storms will be likely over San Antonio, Corpus Christi, Galveston, and up along the Rio Grande Valley. The main threat will be damaging winds and large, damaging hail. I can’t rule out a tornado or two in this batch of storms. It will be mainly humid today across the region for moisture to move onshore from the Gulf. So prepare for a wet afternoon and evening across the region.

What does April mean for our weather pattern? Well we are going to being to get windy across the Great Lakes and Northeast as the air begins to warm up gradually from the heat domes out West. Storm track from the Pacific Northwest will now gradually go Southward across the Central Plains, this is where the severe weather season begins for us mainly in Tornado Alley! There is dramatic warming persisting for the Southern Plains mainly in the 70s to 90s in Southern Texas. We also deal with severe weather across the Dixie Heartland and into the Southeast. Speaking of which, we are watching in Mid-April across the Ohio Valley and Dixie Heartland, something that is gathering a lot of attention in the form of a strong, storm system that could spawn off some pretty severe storms. We are watching closely at the dynamics, patterns, and etc. Will keep you up to date on this situation.

What a difference a year makes when it came to March! March of 2012, if you recall, was much above normal for the majority of the country, we was basking in 70s and 80s as far north as Upstate New York! Why? The Polar Jet Stream took a retreat back into Northern Canada, leaving the West with a trough of low pressure and colder air. The heat dome set up over the Central Plains and allow the ridge to build very strong over most of the Eastern 2/3 rd of the country.

Flip the switch to March of 2013 and what a difference it made! The Polar Jet Stream decided to stick around to the Gulf Coast while the West was enjoying the heat dome of a stronger, high pressure. Results of this brought an Arctic Air Intrusion wave after wave of much below normal temperatures for the majority of the Eastern 2/3 rd of the country. We’ve been below normal since Late January around the region. We are hoping the pattern will switch over to Spring finally in April.

Looking ahead at our Future forecast, beginning on Wednesday, notice low pressure system is off the Louisiana Gulf Coast, bringing heavy rainfall for most of Southern Louisiana with flooding rains possible for Baton Rouge and New Orleans. Scattered rain showers will stretch from Eastern Texas all the way into the Florida Panhandle and the Southeast.

We are going to jump ahead to the 11th of April, a ways off, yes, but an alarming concern. The heat is moving Eastward, with that in mind, comes the possibility of clashing air masses with storm system. This is exactly what is beginning to take shape across the Southern Plains and Dixie Heartland. Ahead of the Cold front across Eastern Texas and Arkansas, severe weather potential will take effect. Rain showers will be common across the Northern Plains through the Great Lakes.

You notice by late in the day on the 11th, storms begin to firing up more frequently across East Central and Southeastern Texas stretching into Central Arkansas. This concerns me as it could bring some potential for some tornadoes in this region. We have to watch this quite closely and monitor the dynamics of the severe parameters to see exactly what the forecast will be.

Temperature futurecast, we are starting out on the Cool side of things across the majority of the Eastern 2/3rd of the nation to start out April. We are talking temperatures 7 to 15 degrees below the average. The West is looking fantastic with the building heat dome of a stronger high pressure system bringing temperatures 5 to 20 degrees above the average. Will this appear in the East in the future? Take a look ahead!

Friday the 5th of April, look at how strong that ridge is out west, starting to appear to bring temperatures almost 20 degree above the average, while we are sitting in colder air here in the East. We are begging for Spring to show up!

Signs start to point in the right direction come Saturday the 6th, the warmer air begins to move into Central and Western portions of the Midwest, 8-15 degrees above normal, the sign is saying, we should be entering a switch in the weather pattern.

By Sunday the 7th, lo and behold, we begin to warn up in the East, we may see 60 to 65 degrees in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. Sorry, to say, this won’t last! A cold front will slam things back to reality on Monday the 8th! I am not kidding you either!

That wraps up our weather summary for today and the next several days. Stay with Dave for all the latest in the weather details, severe weather, and more. Thanks for taking time to read up and God Bless you all.

Chief Forecaster, David Saurer, is a 29 year hobby forecaster for Lightning Weather and various other weather groups.  He just took on a new project as the forecaster for Neoweather Toledo, www.facebook.com/neoweathertoledo and www.neoweather.com/Toledo.  He forecast with two other teammates of Northwestern Ohio and Greater Toledo region.  He is also the chief forecaster for Tornado Recon and Pursuit Team from Clarksville, MS (T.R.A.P.T.)  National correspondent and forecaster for West Georgia Weather of Villa Rica, Georgia.  Always in demand for his accuracy, dependable, and wonderful coverage during severe weather events and more.  Follow David online on Facebook at David Saurer, Twitter is @dsaurerweather, and Pintrest at David Saurer.

First is the big chill coming this weekend for the northern 1/3^rd of the country.  This will be a chilly visit by the Easter Bunny on Sunday when the Upper Midwest feels the chill coming down from Canada.  This will not be a frigid chill however. The coldest temps will be on Monday with temps across the Northern Tier of states in the low to mid 20’s to Southern Kansas in the low 40s, which will be short lived.

Meanwhile, the west will begin a big warm up. From Southern Texas west to Southern California will begin warming with widespread temps in the 70’s to 80’s with the possibility of 90’s in southern Texas from about Midland/Odessa south through San Antonio to Durango. Even Brownsville may see the extreme temps begin to grow.

Back to the northern states, as I said earlier; the big chill will be short lived as the High Pressure in the west will push the

Jetstream to the east along with the cold air.  By Friday, the Temps will begin to moderate from west to east. The Higher Elevations in the Rockies will continue to remain cold due to the heavy snowpack.  The remainder of the region from Eastern Iowa south to the Gulf Coast on West will see a dramatic warm-up. 

By Friday temps will range from the Low 60’s from Iowa south to the Gulf Coast, to the 70s from SW North Dakota south to Northern Texas, to the 80’s and 90’s in SW Arizona and SE California.  Longer Range models have shown to continue the warm temps into the 2^nd week of April.

As for Severe Weather, due to the length of time the northern tier of states, There is a possibility of severe weather being a greater possibility during this time of year. The upper level temps will take more time to warm up; meaning when systems make their way across the Upper Midwest, there will be greater risks of severe weather, especially for stronger systems.

At this point, Saturday looks to be the only significant severe weather risk with a slight risk for Severe Weather. This area is from Northern Texas into Central Kansas. We will monitor the situation as it becomes available.

Now that we are able to bring you Thomas Kennedy’s Convex Tornado Forecasts, We will have more information each day regarding the risk of tornadoes. Plus we will have these Convex Hot Spot Watches and Area Zone Alerts (AZA) faster than the SPC will have Mesoscale Discussions or Watches.

NO by no means are we trying to one up the NWS. Nor are we trying to replace them. Convex Tornado Forecasts are unofficial, but are extremely accurate. We are still sporting a 100% accuracy since March 15^th.

Stay with Lightning Weather and Convex Tornado Forecasts. And beginning in June, Storm Walsh will be more active with the tropics on stormw.wordpress.com

Current CONUS satellite/radar/ frontal position shows a disturbance over the Oklahoma Panhandle bringing some light rain showers across most of the Middle Mississippi Valley. We have a few light rain showers with an upper level disturbance working it ways through the Northeast. This is the same system that left snow across most of the Midwest and Ohio Valley, earlier this week. High pressure is mainly in control of our weather across most of the Eastern portion of the country. High clouds associated with a trough is swinging across the Upper Midwest, not much in the way of precipitation with this system. In the Pacific Northwest, a new storm system has arrived bringing rain showers up and down the entire West Coast. A few snow showers will be in the higher elevations of the Rockies.

Take a look at the current temperatures across the United States. Most of the country is well below normal for this time of year, we only have Upper 30s and 40s around the Northeast into the Mid Atlantic and Southeast. Even Florida is chilly started out in the lower 40s in Southern Florida and now is barely reaching close to 70 degrees in Miami. It is in the lower 50s across Central and Northern Florida. Upper 30s to near 40 in the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley. Cooler weather in the Desert Southwest and Northern Rockies as well. This weather pattern will stick around for the next couple weeks.

Take a look at a forecast for the next 48 hours, beginning with this evening map, A few lingering snow showers will be wrapping itself around the Great Lakes and going into the Northeast. An inch of snowfall is possible in the snow belt regions of Erie and Ontario. A few lingering rain showers possible in the New England region as the storm system begins to move into the Maritimes Provinces of Canada. High Pressure is in control of 2/3rd of the country all the way into the Intermountain West. A new storm system over the Pacific Northwest will bring rain showers into most of Washington, Oregon, Northern and Central California.

24 hours from now, some of the wrap around moisture will work it way into the Central Appalachians with snow showers in the higher elevation with mix precipitation likely across the Valleys. Rain showers are likely across Northern New England as the storm system continues to hang around there. High pressure continues to control the weather through most of the Midwest and Plains. Again, the storm system in the Pacific Northwest, will continue to provide rain showers along the Washington, Oregon, Northern and Central California with snow showers in the higher elevations of the Northern Rockies.

36 hours from now, the same stubborn storm system is lingering off the New England coast, we have rain showers in the valleys, snow showers in the higher elevations with mix precipitation back across Northern Ohio, into the Central Appalachians. We have high pressure dominating most of the nation’s weather. Again, the storm system in the Northwest will continue to provide ample moisture in the form of rain showers for Washington, Oregon, Northern and Central California.

Finally, at 48 hours, the system is finally moving away, with some few leftover lingering rain showers across New York State with snow showers in the higher elevations of the Central Appalachians. High pressure dominating most of the nation’s weather. The storm system will begin to move into the Intermountain West from the Northwest, rain showers for most of the valleys with snow in the higher elevations. A new system is well off to the West out in the Central Pacific, we will be watching this closely to bring more moisture for the Pacific Northwest and West Coast in the future.

Speaking of temperatures, want to show you what the current pattern is and what is ahead for the future, a ridge is providing some above normal temperatures for the Intermountain West and West Coast, while a trough is dipping clear on down into the Gulf coast to provide cooler than normal temperatures. In fact, the Ohio Valley, Middle Mississippi, and Northern Plains is looking at 12 to 14 degrees below normal beginning today through the first week of April.

Things don’t get any better from April 5th to the 12th, notice the cool air pattern still lingers for over 2/3rd of the nation from the Foothills of the Rockies all the way to the Eastern Seaboard, we are talk 6 to 10 degrees below normal for this time period. Warm ridge continues to slowly advance eastward from the West, We are looking at 4 to 15 degrees above average through the Rockies to the West Coast with cooler weather in the central valleys of California.

Wrapping things up, basically the weather pattern will be quiet, tranquil, and cool for many of us with shots of moisture for most of us. That concludes the weather summary for Lightning Weather, I am David Saurer, stay with Lightning Weather for all the latest weather advisories, watches and warnings on our Facebook Page, have a great weekend, Happy Easter, and God Bless.

By late tonight, most of the Upper Mississippi Valley will be getting a fresh dose of snow. This time of year we should be seeing rain. Not that this is not needed in lieu of last year’s drought. The timing is just off and should have happened last month or before that. Unfortunately we cannot tell Old Man Winter when it should or should not snow.

Here’s the scenario right now:

Winter Storm Warnings stretch along the I-70 Corridor from Colorado into Missouri with  Winter Weather advisories surrounding it from southern Iowa and South Central Missouri into Western Colorado.  Winter Storm Watches run east of the Warning/Advisory are along the I-70 Corridor from Just west of St. Louis, MO through Indianapolis, IN into Western Ohio. I expect most of this area (especially along I-70) to be upgraded by this afternoon. I also expect Winter Weather Advisories to be extended in Iowa and Northern Illinois to include the Quad Cities area.

The track is still in question. There is a possibility that it will track into Southern Ohio which will cause a dry slot meaning a lot of the snow totals will be depreciated. If it continues on a due east track, and stay in Kentucky or slightly further south, the totals could be a lot higher.

I am including model runs of the European (ECMWF) the Global Forecast Model (GFS) and the North American Model (NAM) snow accumulations. Both of the American Models (GFS and NAM) run in 6 hour increments. The Euro runs in 12 hour increments.

EURO, GFS and NAM (Left to Right)

Note the European Model is lacking on the snow compared to the American Models. I’m not very confident with how it’s producing. I will try to update this around 8:30 PM CT to show any (if at all) changes to the model runs. Both American Models have just been released as I put this report up. Aside of a few variances, they are relatively similar.

The following images are for snow totals ending Monday morning about 2 am. Note the Legend on top of the images. David Saurer set this image up, he added the numbers along the graphic to show how we believe the snow will waver. Depending on the track of the system, the snow totals could be higher (more what the legend is saying) or lower (the numbers added to the map). This is our forecast. Although we may adjust it as needed, we believe the snow totals from this system will work in this way.

On the Severe side:

The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked the area along the Gulf Coast for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for today, and Southern Georgia and Northern Florida for Sunday.

For Saturday, Hail and Damaging winds will be the greatest threat. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out; however, I do not believe if any do spin up, that they will be very strong.

For Sunday, Most of the area will be confined to extreme southern Georgia and Northern Florida with a Stationary front has wedged itself in that area. I am not expecting more than a wind/hail threat for the area.

By Monday all of this will have moved off the coast. The Snow threat continues for the Northeast however. I am not going to put up numbers until late Sunday or Monday morning at the earliest.

Again I must stress, there is still a lot regarding the track as to how this will play out.

Stay Tuned.

Taking a look at the winter weather alerts at this time, we have a lot of winter storm warnings up in the upper Midwest and Northern Plains. Blizzard Warnings are likely across Northeastern SD and most of Central and West Central Minnesota. A large swath of Winter Weather Advisories are in effect across the Western Great Lakes, most of the Upper Ohio Valley and Western Pennsylvania. Winter Storm Watches for the entire New England and Northeast.

Snow forecast for tonight brings 1 to 3 inches for the large majority of the Upper Midwest through the Northern Great Lakes. 3-6 is possible across the Upper Midwest through the Northwestern portions of the Great Lakes including Minneapolis and St Paul region.

This same storm system is going to dump a good portion of snowfall across the Northeast and New England states. This begins late on Monday and running through mid-week. The majority of Western PA, Eastern WV and Northwestern VA looking at 1-3 and along the Northeast coastline. 3-6 likely through the Appalachians of WV, VA, MD panhandle, PA, and on to South Central, Central and Eastern New York, Northwestern Connecticut and portions of Central Massachusetts. A good 6-10 inches is likely for the Northeastern and North Central PA into the Hudson River Valley, NY. We will pick up the snowfall in Western MS and going through Upstate NY, VT, NH, and most of Maine. The heaviest snowfall will be in Northeastern Vermont, Northern New Hampshire and most of Northwestern Maine where a foot or more is likely there. We will watch this system closely and update you all in the morning.

Now another scenario we have to watch for is severe weather and my concerns exactly is along the frontal boundary across Central Mississippi and Central Alabama. Tornadoes are likely, but not in a major threshold. Damaging winds and large hail is the primary threat from this system as warm, moist Gulf moisture rushes just to the South of the Polar Jet, clashing of two air masses is setting up for a rough atmosphere across this region. We could begin to see thunderstorms develop tonight and through the overnight. Already some thunderstorms reaching the warning criteria across the panhandle of Texas. You folks in this region are advised to be on high alert with NOAA weather radio and keep with your local meteorologists in your region for the latest.

Current Satellite and Radar imagery is showing a squall line of thunderstorms ahead of the frontal boundary across the Texas Panhandle, I do expect these storms to weaken during the overnight period from the lack of daytime heating, however, a new line is forming right at low pressure across West Central Arkansas, expect a new line to form going from Dallas-Fort Worth going East and Northeast into Arkansas and East Central Oklahoma. We will watch this line closely for any indications for watches. The storm system across the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains is bringing widely scattered moderate to heavy snow showers for that region of the country. We have snow showers flying across the Ohio Valley where some areas in Kentucky has reported anywhere from 4 to 7 inches of snowfall and still coming down.

The Water Vapor imagery is showing some concerns about drier air working into the system before reaching the Ohio Valley, this is quite possible. As the forecaster for Neoweather Toledo, I expected a dry slot to work over Northwestern Ohio and Southeastern Michigan. Still showing this on consecutive model runs. So we could be seeing much lower quantitive precipitation forecast across the states of Ohio, Western PA, and most of East Central Ohio. The majority of the Ohio Valley and Southern Ohio will be dealing with rainfall while Kentucky could be dealing with some significant snowfall, we will be monitoring this closely as the forecast is still calling for a majority of the region to pick up some freezing precipitation before changing to all rain.

Severe Weather Forecast for tomorrow is showing a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather across most of Central and NE MS, most of AL, Northeastern GA, Eastern TN, and Eastern KY. The biggest threat area for severe thunderstorms will be centered across Central Mississippi and South Central and Southern Alabama. Tornadoes are likely, some could become strong in this significant risk area. The primary threat will be damaging winds and large hail. Expecting dangerous lightning and very heavy downpours to cause flash flooding on already saturated grounds. Stay on high alert and listen to NOAA weather radio and your weather forecast for the region.

Look at a few model dissection beginning with the 24 hour EURO, showing the storm system over the Middle Mississippi Valley impacting most of the lower Ohio Valley and into the Central and Eastern Great Lakes. Freezing rain and ice is likely for the majority of Ohio, however, on the light side of the accumulations, just enough to make roads a bit slick in the morning commute, so be aware and remember that bridges and overpasses freezes first. We do expect the precipitation to change all over to rainfall after 11 am in many locations. Snow will be likely across SE MI and Northern IN, but no accumulations expected.

36 hours from now on the EURO, you notice the storm system is amping up moisture across the Gulf states in the form of strong to severe thunderstorms with very heavy rainfall likely for the region. Rainfall likely going through the Tennessee Valley, Upper Ohio Valley and into the Northeast. A new storm system is bringing rain along the coastal areas and snow to the higher elevations in the Pacific Northwest.

Looking ahead to next weekend, we definitely have a system to pay close attention too in the Lower Mississippi Valley as the cold arctic air intrusion begin to set up across the majority of the East. This could really wreck havoc across the Tennessee Valley and Lower Ohio Valley. We are watching this system very closely for development of the possibility of seeing a major winter storm pop up from this. Right now, too far out in the distance to pinpoint the accuracy of this forecast.

This is the WRF NAM model at current right now. We see some snowfall across Northern Kentucky through Central WV and NW VA. Some areas did pick up between 4 to 7 inches with more expected during the overnight hours.

Advancing ahead to late this evening, we notice the snowfall continuing South of the Ohio River in the Ohio Valley region. Rainfall is beginning to take shape across the Missouri Valley with thunderstorms reaching severe threshold across the Lower Mississippi Valley in Western Arkansas. Something to watch closely.

I skipped ahead to Monday afternoon and you can see where the rainfall is going into the Northeast, we may have to deal with snow over the majority of North Central Pennsylvania and into Central New York State, lingering rain showers and snow showers are likely across most of the Upper Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. We may have some strong storms firing up across Northern AL, Central TN and East Central GA, something to watch closely in the next several hours during the day, tomorrow.

Full blown winter storm begins to take shape late on the evening, Monday, across the Northeast and New England, while showers and thunderstorms will be expected across the Appalachians through Northern AL and Northern GA. Some of these storms could become severe, we will monitor this very closely as the night wears on.

That is the wrap up of tonight’s weather and going through the week. I will be back mid week with another summary. You can follow me on Neoweather Toledo for all the latest weather information across Northwestern Ohio, and also following me on many various weather resources I assist with (TRAPT, West GA Weather, Lightning Weather, and so on), have a great evening and God Bless.

This is our current frontal analysis of the nation. We have low pressure over upper Midwest bringing some light to moderate snow showers stretching from the Northern Plains through Northern and Central Minnesota, we also have a stretch of snow across Central and Southeastern Wisconsin where some moderate accumulations are likely through the weekend. A few snow showers mixing with some freezing precipitation happening across Northwestern Ohio and a few snow showers showing up in the Snow belt region of Northeastern Ohio. A few snow showers are flying up across Western New York up through most of the Northern mountains of New England. High pressure is dominating factor across most of the Southern 2/3 rd of the country where it is very warm and pleasant with temperatures in the 70s and 80s over the majority of the Southeast and through the Central and Southern Plains states. In the Pacific Northwest, we have a new storm system over Central British Columbia with a trailing cold front going into the Washington coast, bringing rain shower there and stretching down through Oregon and Northern California coast.

Model dissection summary, we are going to go through 24-84 hours of a side by side comparsion between the GFS (American) and ECMWF (European), these two models are the guiders for most of the forecasting, however, both models are coming up with different scenario to play out with the precipitation and the temperatures.

24 hours from now, GFS showing the 540 freezing line into the North Central Ohio, with that the precipitation will be mainly snow from US Rt 30 in North Central Ohio through Northern Indiana and Northern Illinois. We will begin to see some mixing on the model going from Interstate 70 in Maryland and going Westward through WV, OH, IN, and IL. A good mixing will occur there, South of the Ohio River would be mainly rainfall, especially heavy at times across the Lower Ohio Valley. ECMWF is showing a different picture, storm system is more widely spread out and lesser in strength. The Freezing line is also more northerly than the GFS, placing a mix precipitation over a good portion of Northern Ohio, through Indiana, Illinois, and SW Michigan. Rain will be in the forecast for Central Indiana through Southwestern Ohio. Snow will be the factor across most of Wisconsin and Central Lower Michigan.

48 hours from now, GFS is showing a storm system across the Middle Mississippi Valley bringing mainly rainfall from Southern Missouri and into the Lower Ohio Valley. Ice might be an issue across Northern and Central Missouri through Central and Southern Illinois and Indiana. It keeps the skies overcast and dry over most of the Great Lakes. This solution does not agree with my assumptions. The ECMWF, however, shows a different solution to the GFS, more in line with my forecast. Showing some snow over most of Pennsylvania, Central, and Southern New Jersey. We may have some mixing going on across most of Northern Maryland and Delaware, mainly rain, South of Annapolis to DC and most of Virginia. I am going with this solution.

72 hours from now, GFS is showing a good storm system anchoring over the Ohio Valley and also up in the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains. Mainly Snow for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. For the Ohio Valley mainly rainfall and we could be seeing some thunderstorms across the Lower Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley where the main threat will be damaging winds and hail from the solution. There is some Snow and Ice mix happening across Central PA. This is a 30/70 solution favoring my forecast. Go to the ECMWF, this solution is almost to my assumption forecast, we are looking at mainly rainfall and thunderstorms for the Lower Ohio Valley and going into the Mid-Atlantic. It will remain overcast and dry over most of the Great Lakes and Northeast.

Finally, 84 hours from now, Tuesday is the active day on the pattern, the GFS is showing a wider margin for temperature contrast as well as the spread for the type of precipitation. Mainly rainfall is the forecast for most of the Ohio Valley, Southern portions of the Northeast through the Mid-Atlantic, with a cold front back across Western Indiana. Rain ahead of the front, snow behind with the transistion. It will be snowfall across most of Western and Northern Lower Michigan going West into Wisconsin and Minnesota. We could see some severe weather across the Gulf region and Lower Mississippi Valley, we will be monitoring this system closely for the development. ECMWF shows a more evenly spread out precipitation type spread and temperatures. 540 line running through Northern Illinois, Indiana, and Northern Ohio before dipping SW through Southern Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland. We could be seeing a icy mess across most of Central Illinois, Indiana, Northern and Central Ohio. South of Interstate 70 will be mainly rainfall and going into the Southeast. So, where does this leave me in the forecasting department?

Today’s severe weather scenario will take shape over the Lower Ohio Valley and stretching back into Central Illinois and Northeastern Missouri. We have generalize thunderstorms, nothing severe. The main threat will be some hail associated with some of the stronger storms. Winds shouldn’t be an issue with today’s outlook.

Saturday’s outlook has a spread out pattern of generalize thunderstorms beginning across the Central Rockies where wind and hail will be the main threat, we could see some generalize thunderstorms as well across the Central Plains in SE KS, Northern OK, NW AR, and SW MO. Daytime heating will force some lifting and convection in this region. Nothing severe is in the forecast for these storms. Also, some generalize thunderstorms may pop up across the Tennessee River Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic where hail and wind is the main threat.

Sunday’s outlook, put the general thunderstorm area over the Eastern slopes of the Rockies and heading into the Western portions of the Plains. Winds and hail is the main threat for SW SD, SE WY, NE panhandle, Eastern CO, W KS, NE NM, and NW panhandle of Texas, and Western panhandle of Oklahoma. Another area is taking shape over the Middle Mississippi Valley through the Lower Ohio Valley with wind and hail being the main threat.

Monday’s outlook has some concerns for me, it is more of an elevated threat with a couple tornadoes thrown into the equation. There will be a damaging wind threat associated with these forecast line of thunderstorms and large hail. I do expect to see some soaking rainfall with flash flooding occurring across the Tennessee Valley and into Northern Mississippi and Northern Alabama. This is an area to watch closely for during the afternoon hours for development. Of course, I will be monitoring the situation very closely as well.

What’s going on this evening and through the weekend causing such disruptions? Well, folks, we have a storm system impacting most of the Northern Plains through the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic. Checking out the storm scenario map. I am calling for mainly snowfall stretching from Central Minnesota through Southern and Central Wisconsin, most of Lower Michigan, Northern Ohio, and most of North Western and West Central Pennsylvania. Icy conditions will be likely from Southeastern Minnesota through Northern Illinois, Northern Indiana, West Central, Central, and East Central Ohio, most of Southwestern, South Central, and Southeastern Pennsylvania, Central and Southern New Jersey, Maryland Panhandle and the mountains of West Virginia. Mainly rainfall for most South Central Minnesota going into Missouri and Iowa, heading East into most of Central, Southern Illinois, Central and Southern Indiana, Southern Ohio and going Southeast ward.

Accumulation forecast is generally light for the majority of the snow fall region of 1 to 2 inches is the common theme. 2 to 4 inches is likely across West Central Michigan including Grand Rapids, Muskegon, Holland, and Ludington through East Central and North Central Wisconsin north of Milwaukee.

Monday and into Tuesday, there are two system that will make a “phase” over the Mid-Atlantic to cause some strengthening for Monday night and into Tuesday. We expect icy condition for Northern Illinois through Northern Indiana, Northern Ohio, most of South Central and Southern Lower Michigan, Northern half of Pennsylvania, most of New York and New England states. Snow will be the primary threat across Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Northern Lower Michigan and the UP of Michigan, Upstate New York, and Northern New England Mountains. Expect Rainfall south of US RT 30 corridor stretching across IL, IN, OH, and PA. Severe storms are likely across the Tennessee Valley and Northern MS and AL.

This same storm system impacting the Great Lakes now will begin to impact the Northeast and New England beginning Monday Night and into Tuesday to bring disruptive snowfall mainly for Central and Eastern NY through most of New England. Rainfall will be along the coastal areas. While the low pressure will be strengthening off the New Jersey coast, expect strong gusty winds to slam into the New England coastline, I will not be surprised to see Gale or Storm Warnings posted along with Coastal Flood Watches and Warnings. Expect beach erosion and waterbreak being damage along the shoreways.

Finally, wrapping up the summary, take a closer look at what we do expect the weather pattern to be over the early parts of next week, jet stream over the Pacific Northwest will take a dip into the Central Plains before heading NE over the Midwest and Great Lakes. We have that storm system impacting the eastern portion of the country with Snow North of the Jet, Mix for Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, Erie, Morgantown, and Hagerstown, MD, rainfall heavy at time in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Severe weather likely for the Tennessee Valley as I mentioned before. Southeast will be quite warm for this time of year with 60s and 70s. Blustery north winds from the Arctic Canada will keep things blustery and cold across the Northern Great Lakes and Upper Midwest, the same air will reach toward the Southern Plains on Tuesday bringing cooler air into Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Lubbock, Dallas-Fort Worth, and so on. Most of the Plains and Desert Southwest will be dry and warm for most of the weekend and into next week. Pacific Northwest will have a storm system bringing rain showers along the coast with snow in the higher elevations of the Northern Rockies.

That concludes the weather summary for this evening. Stay with us for all the latest weather information, updates, advisories, watches and warnings. Always be in tune with NOAA Weather Radio and the National Weather Service. Have a great evening and a terrific weekend and God Bless.

Current Radar and Satellite imagery across the country, we have low pressure across Western Quebec with a trailing cold front stretching from there all the way through Northern New England, Mid-Atlantic, and going into the Southeast. We do have some moderate to heavy rainfall occurring across most of the New England region going on South to Long Island, NY and the Outer Banks of NC. On the back side of the system, colder temperatures is allowing a few lake effect snow showers to pop up across the Great Lakes, We may see a couple inches of accumulations across Southwestern Michigan and portions of Northern Illinois and Southern Wisconsin overnight and through the day on Wednesday. High pressure is in control of the weather for most of the Ohio and Mississippi Valley through the Plains and Southwest to the West Coast. The only other weather maker making headlines is a disturbance along the Pacific Northwest coast bringing some rain showers, heavy at times across the Washington coastline with some snow in the higher elevations of the Cascades.

The future rainfall forecast for the next 48 hours, we are expecting anywhere from a tenth to an half of an inch of rainfall across the Northeast and New England states. A lot of heavy rainfall up in the Pacific Northwest, where 5 to 7 inches of rainfall is forecast across the Washington coastline and the valleys around Spokane. Quarter up to 2 inches of rainfall is likely for the Western High Plains and the Valleys of Eastern Washington and Western Montana.

Snowfall forecast amounts for the next 48 hours, We are expecting the back side of the low across Western Quebec bring some lake effect snow showers across the Northeast and Great Lakes, We could be seeing 1 to 3 inches mainly for Upstate New York along the Lake Ontario Snowbelt region, down into Northwestern PA and Northern Ohio along the Lake Erie Snowbelt region, about an inch or two. Could see an inch or an inch and an half for the Upper Ohio Valley and Western Pennsylvania mountains. Of course, in the Maryland Panhandle and into Northwestern Mountains of Virginia, we are looking at anywhere from 3 to 6 inches in the higher elevation from this storm system. Some good measurable snowfall is likely across the higher elevations of the Northern Rockies where anywhere from a foot to two feet is likely and also in the Cascades of Washington state.

Weather alerts at this hour, we are seeing Flood Watches and Warnings up in New England region for heavy rainfall there along with melting snow layer. Flood warnings also in effect across most of the Great Lakes with the same scenario for heavy rainfall with some melting snow going along with the situation. Freeze Warnings are in effect across most of Northern Georgia. We have Winter Weather Advisory in effect for the mountains of Southwestern PA and Maryland Panhandle, also in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Lake Effect Snow Warnings in effect for the Western End of the UP of Michigan and One county in Northern Wisconsin. Winter Weather Advisory in effect for most of northeastern South Dakota for 2 to 4 inches of snow likely there. We do have a Flash Flood Watch up in effect in the Washington Coast and Seattle-Tacoma area where 5 to 7 inches of rainfall is forecast for the next 48 hours. Keep a weather eye on this region for heavy inducing flooding.

Before we wrap up the summary for this evening, we want to point out a couple of model dissection showing some disturbances and precipitation opportunities across the Eastern portion of the country. Saturday we may see some snow showers around the Great Lakes and the Appalachians, expecting anywhere from an half of an inch up to 2 inches possible across this region.

Next Tuesday, is a bigger concern for the possiblity of seeing some good snowfall across the Great Lakes and Northeast with a system anchoring over Southern Ontario. Temperatures right now on the models are favoring rain and snow showers, it could become a rain to snow transistion, we are watching this closely to determine the exact forecast precipitation and how much as we go through the week.

We are going to mainly quiet for a lot of us across the Nation in the next 48 hours, so still keep an eye on the weather as things do change rapidly. Stay with us for all the latest details, forecast, and weather information on Twitter, Facebook, and our websites. Thanks for spending part of your evening with us and God Bless!

Temperatures currently ahead of the cold frontal boundary are in the 50s as far North as Rochester and Syracuse, NY to the 60s into Southern Maryland. We have 70s as far north as North Carolina. Behind the front, temperatures are dropping back into the middle to upper 40s for most of Eastern Indiana through the Lower Ohio Valley. 50s more wide spread in the middle to lower Mississippi Valley. Teens and 20s for most of the Upper Midwest. The Plains states are having a high pressure ridge pumping warm, moist Gulf of Mexico air as far north as South Dakota in the 40s, 50s and 60s for the Central Plains, 60s and 70s for the Southern Plains. Also warming up across the West Coast and Desert Southwest. A few cooler readings across the Intermountain West.

Current Radar Conus showing the low pressure system over Northwestern Lower Michigan with a warm front extending across the Upper Peninsula of Michigan bringing warm, moist air through most of the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Upper Ohio Valley, and the Northeast. Rain showers ahead of the system is likely happening over most of the Southeast and up and down the Eastern Seaboard and Appalachians. Heaviest rains are falling across Southern Ohio to the Southeast around Northern Georgia and Southeastern Alabama. Behind the frontal boundary, colder air funnels in, in fact, snow showers are flying across Central and Northern Wisconsin and a few snow showers are flying around Milwaukee and Green Bay. A upper air disturbance across the Central Rockies bringing some rain showers around Denver region with snow in the higher elevations. A new storm system in the Pacific Northwest is bringing rain showers for coastal Washington and Oregon.

Go locally in the State of Ohio, you can surely see where the frontal boundary is moving through just to the West of Greater Cleveland. Heavier rain showers will be sliding through in the next half hour or so before the precipitation winds down to light to moderate rain showers.

Taking a close look at the Visible satellite imagery, you can surely pin point where the cold frontal boundary is located from Northern lower Michigan through the Lower Ohio Valley and into the Southeast. Snow in Wisconsin, Rain ahead of the frontal boundary. High pressure keeping Sunny and Clear skies present across the Central and Southern Plains. New storm system in the Pacific Northwest is bringing showers for Seattle, Tacoma, and Northwestern Oregon.

Water Vapor Imagery showing some Pacific flow of drier air trying to rush in behind the system and frontal boundary, things should dry out shortly as the front passes through Ohio and Western Pennsylvania, overnight. Ahead of the frontal boundary is the flow of Gulf Steam Moisture providing the heavier rain showers across the Southeast and going through the Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. Pacific moisture rushing on shore in the Pacific Northwest keep things moist with plenty of rain showers there.

Model Dissection time, starting with the ECMWF Current Imagery, we can see the low pressure system over Northern Lower Michigan, once again, providing rain showers ahead of the frontal boundary for most of the Eastern third of the country. Snow is on the backside of the low across the Upper Midwest in the cold sector. Most of the country will remain dry under High Pressure, with the exception of the Pacific Northwest having some moisture moving onshore from a new system there.

24 hours from now, the storm system continues to advance east with the frontal boundary along the Appalachians and Eastern Seaboard. Showers will stretch from Northern Florida all the way north into the Northeast and New England. A disturbance in the Northern Plains may spread some snow showers across that region there. Rain and showers along the Pacific Northwest continues as the storm system arrives there.

120 hours from now, we have a concern for some rain showers for the Ohio and Tennessee Valley. Forecast was intentionally showing Snow on the Snow cast, but, we believe this air will be too warm aloft to allow snowfall. We are calling for mainly overcast skies with rain showers for most of Ohio and through the Ohio Valley.

168 hours from now, far ahead, We are watching a developing low pressure system across the TEXARKLA region. This system is prompting concerns as it gain moisture from the Gulf and strengthens as it move northeast. Yes, a Nor’Easter is in the works, along with Gulf moisture will pick up the Atlantic moisture as well to strengthen the system even further.

As we move into the 192 hour, we have a major snow storm with low pressure over the thumb region of Michigan, heavy snow is likely along the Eastern Seaboard, some good snows are also possible across most of the Great Lakes. Now, this being so far in advance, I would take this with caution knowing the models will definitely change during the course, however, consistency has been a good bet for the storm system thus far. Brazilian model were showing this type of pattern a couple of months ago for Mid to Late March, well see if this trend turns out to be the truth!

216 hours, we see the low pressure system off the New England coast, on the backside of the low, Lake Effect snow showers could be possible across the Midwest and Great Lakes. Again, we have to watch this closely on all variables to see just how much this will pan out being over 9 days away. Again, THIS IS NOT A FORECAST, just a preliminary overlook at the models.

Look at the forecast for the next 48 hours before going into more details about the future. 12 hours from now, we see the system over Northern Lower Michigan bringing a good chance for rain showers from Northern Michigan all the way through the Lower Ohio and Mississippi Valleys. Snow on the back side of the low across most of Eastern Iowa and Northern Wisconsin. We have a system in the Northwest bringing an onshore flow of moisture in the form of rain showers there. High Pressure in control of the weather across most of the Plains with warm temperatures thanks to SSW winds.

24 hours from now, the system begins to advance eastward, providing heavy rainfall from Northern Florida Panhandle through the Appalachians and the Northeast, temperatures will start to cool down considerable behind the front. Snow will be making an entrance across Northern and Western Lower Michigan stretching back West into most of Wisconsin and Northern Indiana and Illinois. An upper level disturbance will bring some snow showers across the Central Rockies and Northern Plains. The onshore flow of moisture associated with a new Pacific Storm System will continue across the Pacific Northwest. High pressure continues to dominate the weather across the Intermountain West through the Plains.

36 hours, Widespread rain showers continuing for the entire Eastern Seaboard back West into the Ohio Valley. Snow beginning to fall across Northwestern Ohio, Southwestern Michigan, through most of Indiana, Northern Illinois and Wisconsin. Some snow showers continuing across the Northern Plains and Central Rockies with the disturbance there. The storm system across the Northwest will continue to provide mountain snowfall and rain for the coastal areas of Washington and Northern Oregon. High Pressure, once again, dominates the weather for the Central and Southern Plains and Intermountain West.

Finally, at 48 hours from now, the storm system is slowly tampering off the Eastern Seaboard but showers still continue up and down the coast. Snow will be in the forecast for most of the Northern Great Lakes. Snow will also continue across most of the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains. High Pressure moves into the Eastern High Plains and the entire Plains stretching west into the Intermountain West and West Coast. Storm system in the Pacific Northwest will continue to provide snow in the higher elevations and rain along the Washington and Northern Oregon coast.

One final thing to cover, the temperatures for the next several days across the nation. This is a big factor we are watching closely to see if a major nor’easter with heavy snowfall is in the future forecast across the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, Appalachians and the Northeast. Beginning with, 63rd hour, being Thursday. We notice a cold trend from Northern Canada rushing down South into Southern Georgia. Temperatures will be below normal for most of this region. High pressure ridge across the Central Plains will warm things up for 2/3rd of the Western portions of the Nation.

108 hours from now, Saturday, here is where we are having an issue. ECMWF model shows a major winter storm on the models bringing lot of snowfall for the entire Northeast, Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic, well according this map, this is not possible with it being too warm aloft over the Ohio Valley. Now, it could be possible the outer fringe areas along the Eastern Seaboard from Delaware, through NJ, New York Metro and portions of Long Island could see some winter precipitation in the form of snow, how much? that is still questionable and debating. We are watching this very closely. The warming trend is continuing to push Eastward to dominate most of the nation’s temperatures. Again, keeping a close eye on things here.

Things get real interesting beginning next week, at 192nd hour, Next Tuesday (far in advance, take this with some caution), we notice the arctic air intrusion is starting another assault on the Great Lakes, Upper Midwest, and Ohio Valley. Freezing line stretching as far South as extreme Northwestern Arkansas. We still have a rush of warmer air ahead of the cold front for most of the Mid-Atlantic and going South with temps in the 40s and 50s at that time.

204th hour, into Wednesday of next week, we notice the southern push of the arctic air intrusion makes it as far south as Northern Georgia. It manage to make it into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Still have that Gulf Stream flow of warm air ahead of the frontal boundary working along the Eastern Seaboard. We need to watch this very closely. Severe weather is a possible across the South from what this model is dissecting.

Finally, moving to 216th hour, later on Wednesday, We notice the fast moving cold front makes it all the way to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas with the invasion of colder air. We are really looking at a cold snap across most of the Great Lakes as low pressure is center over Upstate New York at this time, this could become a major winter storm, again, being so far in advance to the future, we still don’t want to cause an alarm. The team will be watching this development very closely and will update as the models become more consistent.

That wraps up this evening’s weather summary for the nation. We will always update and bring the latest forecast on our site and Facebook pages. Many of us have a Twitter account, always ask us for our Twitter contact to follow us on there. We want to thank you for spending part of your evening with us, God Bless, and please Stay Safe and Sound!

Current overlay map shows low pressure over Western Kansas with a strong cold front stretching from West Central Kansas through Oklahoma and Texas. Ahead of the front, a lot of warm, moist gulf stream air allowing for thunderstorms to rumble across OK and TX, some of these storms are severe. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH in effect for this region until 11 PM Central Time. Blizzard conditions are prevailing mainly over Western KS, NE, Southeastern WY, and Northeastern CO. High pressure in control of our weather across most of the Eastern 1/3 rd of the country. We have another system across the Central Rockies bringing heavy snowfall into the Denver-Grand Junction region of the Rockies.

12 hours from now, the storm system will still be anchored over Central Kansas, allowing blizzard conditions to continue across most of Nebraska, Western Kansas, most of Colorado, and Northern New Mexico mountains. Moderate snows are expected across portions of South Central South Dakota and going into Minnesota. Heavy rainfall likely from Northern Lower Michigan through Iowa and the Mississippi Valley ahead of the cold front. Still a few strong storms may continue across Eastern Oklahoma and Northeastern Texas, but we sense most of the storms will weaken just before midnight. High pressure continues to impact the weather in the East and along the West and Interior West. A new storm system is coming ashore in the Pacific Northwest, bringing rain showers for coastal Washington.

24 hours from now, the storm system will now be over the Middle Mississippi Valley, providing heavy rains for the Missouri River Valley and into the Lower Mississippi Valley, a few generalize thunderstorms will occur across East Central Texas into Louisania and Mississippi, nothing severe will occur out of these storms. Some rainfall is likely for the Central Great Lakes and going into Central Illinois. Blizzard like conditions still going on across most of Central and Northeastern Kansas. High pressure continues to dominate the weather across the East and the Interior West.

36 hours from now, Low pressure is over the Western Great Lakes, providing rain showers, heavy at times from Upper Peninsula of Michigan and going through the Middle and Lower Mississippi Valley. A few storms are likely in portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Gorgeous weather continues in the East and West, with a new storm system approaching the Washington Coastline bringing some rain showers there.

Finally, at 48 hours, we see the system begin to move into Northwestern Lower Michigan. Snow, heavy at times will prevail over most of Northeastern KS through Missouri. We may see some mix precipitation over Southeastern WI and East Central MO. Heavy rainfall likely for Northern Lower Michigan through most of the lower Ohio Valley and dominating the Tennessee and Mississippi Valleys. We may have a few storms along the Gulf coast for Monday. The new storm system in the Pacific Northwest will bring rain showers along the coast and snowfall in the Western High Plains and Northern Rockies. Most of the high pressure in the east is tampering off, but high pressure continues to dominate most of the Western 2/3rd of the country.

Taking a look at the latest weather advisory across the country. BLIZZARD WARNING in effect for most of Central Nebraska, Central/Western Kansas, and Northeastern Colorado. Pink areas are WINTER STORM WARNINGS, Blue areas indicates WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

Take a look at the INF. satellite imagery, you can see the heavy moisture content ahead of the frontal boundary responsible for most of the severe weather there, behind the front is a dry slot trying to rush ahead of the blizzard like conditions across the Central Plains. Snow falling across most of NE, SD, and into CO.

Get a better view of the moisture content with the Water Gradient, notice the inflow of Gulf Stream moisture ahead of the frontal boundary across Eastern Texas and rushing NNE into the Mid Mississippi Valley and Midwest.

The Water Vapor Imagery also showing the clear indication of the dry slot working behind the frontal boundary, this slot is Pacific Drier air that is trying to work its way into the system and try to swallow up most of the moisture. We are continuing to watch this very closely in the forecast.

Current temperatures, you can notice the rush of warmer, moist air ahead of the frontal boundary where temperatures in the 60s and lower 70s in South Central Texas, behind the frontal boundary, we are seeing almost a 30 degree drop into the Upper 30s to lower 40s in majority of the region. 20s and 30s in the Rockies and Northwestern Kansas.

12 hours from now, notice how much colder air is trying to invade the Central Plains states behind the frontal boundary. We still have warm, moist Gulf stream working its way out of the SE ahead of the frontal boundary, the clashing of two air masses will set up a few strong storms ahead of the front across TEX-ARK-LA region. No severe weather is expected.

This is the latest snowmap for the next 48 hours across the Central Plains through the Midwest and Western Great Lakes with Blizzard like conditions across most of Colorado to the West of Denver.

That completes the weather summary for this weekend. Stay with Lightning Weather and other various sources for the latest weather information, advisories, watches and warnings, along with changes in the forecast. Have your NOAA Weather Radio on alert for those of you in the severe weather region across Texas and Oklahoma. Stay Safe, Have a great weekend, and God Bless!